Defence Force vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LIK
2 - 1
LDF
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
RFC
0 - 2
LDF
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LMP
0 - 2
LDF
42%
29%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LDF
2 - 0
LFC
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LDF
1 - 0
QAL
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIO
3 - 0
LMP
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LIO
2 - 1
LIK
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LFC
1 - 2
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 0
MAT
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
RFC
0 - 2
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |