LCS vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LCS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LMP
0 - 0
LCS
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LCS
1 - 0
DYN
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
LCS
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
DYN
3 - 0
LCS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LCS
1 - 0
LIK
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LIO
2 - 1
LIN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 1
LDF
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LMP
0 - 1
LIO
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NYE
0 - 2
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |