Lazio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
LAZ
51%
30%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
TER
2 - 0
LAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
LAZ
5 - 2
COM
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
47%
31%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 2
REG
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
LIV
3 - 1
SPA
39%
32%
30%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SPA
2 - 1
FCC
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
CAT
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
TER
1 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |