Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
36%
25%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CAG
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LAZ
6 - 1
SPE
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
UDI
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VER
3 - 2
ROM
16%
20%
65%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 1
CSK
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 1
SAS
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 4
ROM
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |