Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 3
LAZ
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 3
LAZ
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LAZ
4 - 1
ACM
51%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 2
LAZ
23%
25%
53%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAP
6 - 0
BEN
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SHA
2 - 1
NAP
25%
23%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 3
NAP
8%
16%
76%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
3 - 1
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 2
NAP
18%
22%
60%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |