Lazio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 2
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 1
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
REG
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
INT
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 3
SIE
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
ROM
17%
26%
58%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |