Lazio vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAZ
32%
27%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
3 - 0
EMP
78%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
47%
26%
27%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 3
LAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 2
LAZ
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 2
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
18%
26%
56%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
70%
18%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |