Coppa Italia . Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Lazio vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
27%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 0
LAZ
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
LAZ
4 - 1
ASC
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
INT
3 - 0
PAL
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 1
INT
11%
22%
66%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
INT
3 - 2
CAG
74%
16%
9%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
INT
0 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SIE
0 - 0
INT
16%
24%
61%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |