Serie A . Jor. 14

Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis

Lazio Fiorentina
87 ELO 86
10.6% Tilt 8.4%
40º General ELO ranking 60º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.6%
Lazio
21.9%
Draw
21.6%
Fiorentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
Lazio
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
+1%
-3%
Fiorentina

ELO progression

Lazio
Fiorentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2017
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
76%
15%
8%
87 76 11 0
18 Nov. 2017
ROM
Roma
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
87 88 1 0
02 Nov. 2017
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Nice
NIC
71%
18%
12%
88 82 6 -1
29 Oct. 2017
BEN
Benevento
1 - 5
Lazio
LAZ
10%
19%
71%
88 66 22 0
25 Oct. 2017
BOL
Bologna
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
22%
23%
55%
87 76 11 +1

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2017
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
18%
22%
60%
86 72 14 0
05 Nov. 2017
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 4
Roma
ROM
37%
24%
40%
86 88 2 0
29 Oct. 2017
CRO
Crotone
2 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
17%
22%
61%
87 74 13 -1
25 Oct. 2017
FIO
Fiorentina
3 - 0
Torino
TOR
54%
23%
24%
86 84 2 +1
22 Oct. 2017
BEN
Benevento
0 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
12%
22%
66%
86 66 20 0
X