Lazio vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EMP
1 - 3
LAZ
33%
25%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAS
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TWE
0 - 1
LAZ
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
MEP
1 - 1
LAZ
14%
23%
64%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CAG
2 - 2
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 3
SPE
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
ROM
18%
21%
61%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SPE
4 - 1
TOR
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
SPE
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |