Lavalleja vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.7%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavalleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
JUV
5%
12%
82%
|
12 | 67 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 1
PFC
55%
20%
24%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 1
ATE
6%
14%
80%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
CAB
2 - 3
LFC
24%
20%
56%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
BOS
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
DAN
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 2
RAC
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
DAN
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 0
CEL
42%
30%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |