Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+249%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SCC
0 - 0
LAV
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 1
CUN
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAV
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LAV
0 - 0
ACD
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BIE
2 - 1
LAV
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
DER
2 - 0
SCC
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CUN
1 - 1
DER
70%
19%
12%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
DER
0 - 3
CAS
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ACD
3 - 1
DER
79%
15%
7%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
DER
0 - 0
BIE
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +2 |