Lautaro de Buin vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
LAU
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 3
LIM
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
SAU
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
LAU
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
LAU
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
JOA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIM
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
IBE
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |