Lautaro de Buin vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CHG
2 - 0
LAU
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LAU
0 - 0
DER
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ACC
0 - 2
LAU
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
LAU
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
LAU
3 - 1
SAU
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
SAU
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GVE
0 - 1
CON
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
IBE
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
LAU
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |