Q. Europa League 4a Ronda. Final
Global 2-2
Lausanne Sports vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
LAU
2 - 1
DEL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAU
3 - 0
YVE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
LAU
1 - 1
RAN
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 2
LAU
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
RAN
2 - 3
LAU
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 3
SPA
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
KRS
0 - 0
LOK
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LOK
0 - 1
FCR
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SIB
2 - 2
LOK
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
LOK
3 - 0
ALA
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |