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Australia Second Division. T-League, Matchday 9

Launceston City vs South Hobart analysis

Launceston City South Hobart
7 ELO 30
-24% Tilt 91%
11516º General ELO ranking 4639º
167º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
14.9%
Launceston City
18.7%
Draw
66.4%
South Hobart

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
Launceston City
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66.4%
Win probability
South Hobart
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Launceston City
-32%
+164%
South Hobart

Basic stats

1
1
GF
1
1
GC
7
30
ELO
1
2.3
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Launceston City
Their league position
South Hobart
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
43
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Glenorchy Knights
50
50
100%
Devonport City
47
47
100%
South Hobart
43
43
100%
Kingborough Lions
36
36
100%
Launceston City
22
22
100%
Olympia Warriors
18
18
50%
Clarence United
18
18
50%
Riverside Olympic
6
6
100%
Expected probabilities
Launceston City
South Hobart
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Launceston City
LAU
South Hobart
SOU
Devonport City
DEV
Clarence United
CLA
Olympia Warriors
OLY
Kingborough Lions
KIN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Launceston City
Launceston City
1%
X%
2%
ELO LAU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2021
KIN
Kingborough Lions
3 - 1
Launceston City
LAU
46%
27%
26%
120 188 68 -2
15 May. 2021
GLE
Glenorchy Knights
5 - 0
Launceston City
LAU
45%
27%
28%
122 144 22 -2
08 May. 2021
OLY
Olympia Warriors
4 - 1
Launceston City
LAU
51%
26%
23%
124 345 221 -2
23 Apr. 2021
LAU
Launceston City
3 - 2
Riverside Olympic
ROF
42%
28%
30%
123 179 -56 +1
10 Apr. 2021
SOU
South Hobart
5 - 0
Launceston City
LAU
51%
25%
24%
122 409 287 -2

Matches

South Hobart
South Hobart
1%
X%
2%
ELO SOU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2021
SOU
South Hobart
0 - 2
Devonport City
DEV
47%
27%
26%
380 351 29 -2
15 May. 2021
OLY
Olympia Warriors
1 - 4
South Hobart
SOU
46%
27%
27%
378 347 -31 +2
08 May. 2021
SOU
South Hobart
2 - 1
Kingborough Lions
KIN
53%
25%
22%
377 191 186 +1
24 Apr. 2021
GLE
Glenorchy Knights
1 - 1
South Hobart
SOU
39%
28%
33%
377 142 -235 0
10 Apr. 2021
SOU
South Hobart
5 - 0
Launceston City
LAU
51%
25%
24%
409 122 287 +2