Launceston City vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.7%
70.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
4.4%
3-5
1.4%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
2.8%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
1.4%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+219%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
8º
7º
59
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 1 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 100% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 0% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
LAU
DEV
KIN
HOB
SOU
OLY
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO LAU | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
LAU
4 - 0
CLA
45%
27%
28%
|
153 | 130 | 23 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 3
OLY
45%
27%
29%
|
155 | 248 | -93 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 3
HOB
41%
27%
32%
|
157 | 298 | -141 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAU
45%
27%
28%
|
156 | 165 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ROF
1 - 0
LAU
46%
27%
26%
|
154 | 213 | 59 | +1 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO DEV | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
DEV
4 - 1
SOU
46%
27%
27%
|
344 | 383 | -39 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CLA
0 - 12
DEV
40%
28%
32%
|
341 | 133 | -208 | +3 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 5
DEV
39%
28%
33%
|
339 | 164 | -175 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
KIN
0 - 2
DEV
39%
28%
33%
|
338 | 149 | -189 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 2
DEV
45%
27%
29%
|
337 | 242 | -95 | +1 |