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Australia Second Division. T-League, Matchday 19

Launceston City vs Devonport City analysis

Launceston City Devonport City
11 ELO 27
19% Tilt 178%
9150º General ELO ranking 3934º
109º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
15.3%
Launceston City
14.7%
Draw
70.1%
Devonport City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
Launceston City
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.7%
70.1%
Win probability
Devonport City
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
4.4%
3-5
1.4%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
2.8%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
1.4%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Launceston City
+41%
+219%
Devonport City

Points and table prediction

Launceston City
Their league position
Devonport City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
59
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Devonport City
59
63
100%
Olympia Warriors
56
56
100%
South Hobart
44
47
100%
Hobart Zebras
39
41
100%
Glenorchy Knights
32
32
100%
Kingborough Lions
29
31
100%
Launceston City
24
25
100%
Riverside Olympic
14
16
100%
Clarence United
0
1
100%
Expected probabilities
Launceston City
Devonport City
Champion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Launceston City
LAU
Devonport City
DEV
Kingborough Lions
KIN
Hobart Zebras
HOB
South Hobart
SOU
Olympia Warriors
OLY
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Launceston City
Launceston City
1%
X%
2%
ELO LAU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2019
LAU
Launceston City
4 - 0
Clarence United
CLA
45%
27%
28%
153 130 23 +2
29 Jun. 2019
LAU
Launceston City
0 - 3
Olympia Warriors
OLY
45%
27%
29%
155 248 -93 -2
22 Jun. 2019
LAU
Launceston City
0 - 3
Hobart Zebras
HOB
41%
27%
32%
157 298 -141 -2
08 Jun. 2019
GLE
Glenorchy Knights
0 - 1
Launceston City
LAU
45%
27%
28%
156 165 9 +1
01 Jun. 2019
ROF
Riverside Olympic
1 - 0
Launceston City
LAU
46%
27%
26%
154 213 59 +1

Matches

Devonport City
Devonport City
1%
X%
2%
ELO DEV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2019
DEV
Devonport City
4 - 1
South Hobart
SOU
46%
27%
27%
344 383 -39 +2
22 Jun. 2019
CLA
Clarence United
0 - 12
Devonport City
DEV
40%
28%
32%
341 133 -208 +3
15 Jun. 2019
GLE
Glenorchy Knights
2 - 5
Devonport City
DEV
39%
28%
33%
339 164 -175 +2
01 Jun. 2019
KIN
Kingborough Lions
0 - 2
Devonport City
DEV
39%
28%
33%
338 149 -189 +1
18 May. 2019
OLY
Olympia Warriors
1 - 2
Devonport City
DEV
45%
27%
29%
337 242 -95 +1