noscript image

Australia Second Division. T-League, Matchday 20

Launceston City vs Devonport City analysis

Launceston City Devonport City
10 ELO 26
103% Tilt 124%
10127º General ELO ranking 10129º
94º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
44.6%
Launceston City
18.1%
Draw
37.4%
Devonport City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
Launceston City
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
3.1%
5-4
1%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
16.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
4.6%
4-4
1.9%
5-5
0.5%
6-6
0.1%
7-7
<0%
0
18.1%
37.4%
Win probability
Devonport City
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
2.8%
4-5
0.9%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
1.4%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Launceston City
+141%
+111%
Devonport City

Points and table prediction

Launceston City
Their league position
Devonport City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
50
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Devonport City
50
50
100%
South Hobart
47
47
100%
Hobart Zebras
39
39
100%
Launceston City
37
37
100%
Olympia Warriors
30
30
100%
Northern Rangers
20
20
100%
Kingborough Lions
15
15
100%
Clarence United
3
3
100%
Expected probabilities
Launceston City
Devonport City
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Launceston City
LAU
Devonport City
DEV
Hobart Zebras
HOB
Kingborough Lions
KIN
South Hobart
SOU
Clarence United
CLA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Launceston City
Launceston City
1%
X%
2%
ELO LAU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2018
SOU
South Hobart
3 - 1
Launceston City
LAU
50%
26%
24%
160 394 234 -2
11 Aug. 2018
OLY
Olympia Warriors
2 - 1
Launceston City
LAU
46%
27%
26%
161 229 68 -1
04 Aug. 2018
LAU
Launceston City
4 - 1
Northern Rangers
NOR
41%
28%
31%
159 214 -55 +2
28 Jul. 2018
CLA
Clarence United
0 - 5
Launceston City
LAU
45%
27%
28%
156 178 22 +3
21 Jul. 2018
KIN
Kingborough Lions
2 - 2
Launceston City
LAU
46%
27%
27%
156 158 2 0

Matches

Devonport City
Devonport City
1%
X%
2%
ELO DEV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2018
AVH
Avondale Heights
4 - 1
Devonport City
DEV
46%
27%
27%
323 294 -29 -4
18 Aug. 2018
DEV
Devonport City
7 - 1
Northern Rangers
NOR
45%
27%
29%
214 326 -112 -3
12 Aug. 2018
SOU
South Hobart
3 - 2
Devonport City
DEV
46%
27%
26%
327 392 65 -1
07 Aug. 2018
NOR
Northcote City
1 - 3
Devonport City
DEV
41%
28%
31%
323 244 -79 +4
04 Aug. 2018
DEV
Devonport City
3 - 0
Hobart Zebras
HOB
47%
27%
26%
321 293 28 +2