Latte Dolce vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latte Dolce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
ULD
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 1
ULD
60%
20%
19%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ULD
2 - 2
SAS
27%
24%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ULD
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ULD
2 - 0
LAN
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 1
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SSD
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 0
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 0
SSD
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 4
ALB
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |