Latina vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
LAT
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LAT
0 - 0
ASC
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
ACD
0 - 1
LAT
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LAT
1 - 2
SPA
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
LAT
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
PRG
0 - 0
SPE
44%
30%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
PRG
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 1
VER
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
PRG
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
PRG
0 - 0
ASC
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |