Las Vegas Lights vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
LVG
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARI
5 - 1
LVG
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 1
LVG
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
LAG
5 - 0
LVG
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LVG
2 - 4
ORA
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
ORA
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 1
SDL
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
LAG
1 - 1
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 2
REN
20%
21%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 0
SAC
26%
24%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |