Larne vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
LAR
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 2
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
PAÇ
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
LAR
34%
25%
40%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
AGF
1 - 1
LAR
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 6
GLE
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
WAR
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAL
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
GLE
4 - 0
WAR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 3
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |