Larne vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
JOS
0 - 0
LAR
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
TNS
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 0
LAR
19%
21%
60%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
LAR
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 4
LAR
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
JOS
0 - 0
LAR
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 3
MAG
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CEU
2 - 3
JOS
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JOS
2 - 1
GLA
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 2
LRI
42%
23%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |