Larne vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
7º
1º
39
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
LAR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
LIN
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 4
CLI
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COL
3 - 2
LOU
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
LOU
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |