Larne vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
4º
2º
76
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 2
STG
18%
20%
63%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 2
LAR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
LAR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 4
SHR
39%
25%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
LIN
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 3
LIN
26%
24%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |