Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 2
LAR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WAR
4 - 1
LAR
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 1
KNO
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
LAR
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
LIN
5 - 0
LAR
75%
17%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KNO
1 - 1
INS
38%
24%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
INS
4 - 0
PSN
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |