Championship 1 round 20

Larne vs Institute analysis

Larne Institute
52 ELO 55
13.2% Tilt 15.4%
1510º General ELO ranking 2858º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Larne
23.9%
Draw
29.8%
Institute

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
Larne
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.9%
Win probability
Institute
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Larne
+8%
-14%
Institute

ELO progression

Larne
Institute
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Larne
Larne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2016
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
2 - 1
Larne
LAR
44%
24%
31%
54 55 1 0
12 Apr. 2016
LAR
Larne
5 - 0
Donegal Celtic
DON
84%
12%
5%
55 30 25 -1
09 Apr. 2016
ARC
Armagh City
0 - 1
Larne
LAR
44%
24%
32%
54 53 1 +1
05 Apr. 2016
LAR
Larne
1 - 0
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
40%
25%
36%
52 56 4 +2
26 Mar. 2016
LAR
Larne
0 - 0
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
64%
19%
17%
52 46 6 0

Matches

Institute
Institute
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2016
INS
Institute
2 - 0
Loughgall
LOU
52%
25%
23%
53 49 4 0
09 Apr. 2016
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
2 - 2
Institute
INS
52%
23%
25%
54 57 3 -1
02 Apr. 2016
AUN
Annagh United
0 - 2
Institute
INS
36%
23%
41%
52 46 6 +2
30 Mar. 2016
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 0
Institute
INS
35%
24%
41%
52 48 4 0
19 Mar. 2016
INS
Institute
2 - 0
Armagh City
ARC
44%
26%
31%
52 52 0 0