Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
LAR
44%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
5 - 0
DON
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
LAR
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
LCE
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 0
BAL
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 2
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 2
INS
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
INS
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
ARC
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |