Larne vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
4 - 1
CRU
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 4
LAR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
4 - 0
CLI
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LAR
17%
25%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |