Larne vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 2
LOU
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
5 - 2
LAR
30%
23%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -3 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
LIM
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
4 - 4
ARC
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LCE
2 - 3
LAR
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DER
4 - 4
AUN
47%
23%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DER
1 - 6
SYL
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DON
2 - 6
DER
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
AUN
3 - 3
DER
56%
22%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
DER
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |