Championship 1 round 3

Larne vs Dergview FC analysis

Larne Dergview FC
43 ELO 46
8.3% Tilt 5%
1509º General ELO ranking 6072º
Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
44.3%
Larne
24.3%
Draw
31.4%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
Larne
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.3%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Larne
+8%
-51%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Larne
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Larne
Larne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 3
Larne
LAR
65%
20%
15%
40 47 7 0
27 Apr. 2013
COA
Coagh United
3 - 0
Larne
LAR
60%
20%
20%
41 43 2 -1
23 Apr. 2013
LAR
Larne
0 - 4
Institute
INS
26%
24%
50%
41 55 14 0
20 Apr. 2013
LIM
Limavady
0 - 1
Larne
LAR
59%
21%
20%
40 42 2 +1
13 Apr. 2013
LAR
Larne
1 - 2
Ards FC
ARD
26%
25%
49%
41 55 14 -1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 3
Larne
LAR
65%
20%
15%
47 40 7 0
27 Apr. 2013
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
65%
21%
14%
48 56 8 -1
09 Apr. 2013
INS
Institute
2 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
55%
25%
20%
48 54 6 0
06 Apr. 2013
BAN
Bangor
1 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
40%
25%
36%
49 44 5 -1
02 Apr. 2013
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 0
Carrick Rangers
CAR
40%
24%
37%
49 52 3 0