Larne vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
0 - 3
LAR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
0 - 5
POR
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
LAR
68%
18%
15%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARC
63%
20%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
3 - 3
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
4 - 2
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
DER
0 - 4
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
DER
0 - 2
ARD
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BAL
4 - 1
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
DER
1 - 2
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |