Larne vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 4
LAR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
4 - 0
CLI
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LAR
17%
25%
59%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
AUN
2 - 1
LAR
22%
21%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
10%
19%
72%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 0
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |