Larne vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
32
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 0
LIN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
LAR
15%
19%
66%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
LAR
14%
23%
63%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAR
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
BAL
22%
22%
57%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CRU
21%
24%
54%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAR
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |