Larne vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIM
3 - 0
LAR
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TOB
3 - 1
LAR
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 3
LOU
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
WAR
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
ARD
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 0
NEW
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 1
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARD
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAN
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |