Cup . 1/16
Global 1-4
AE Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
APS
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
LAR
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 1
ERG
32%
26%
41%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NIK
0 - 0
LAR
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
THR
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
ARI
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
XAN
1 - 1
TRI
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 1
PAN
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
3 - 0
ATR
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 0
TRI
15%
28%
57%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |