Lanciotto vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanciotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 2
LAN
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 1
CER
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACE
2 - 0
LAN
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 0
SCA
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
RAV
1 - 1
LAN
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
PIS
25%
26%
49%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |