Lancing vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
RAM
4 - 0
LAN
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 1
BUR
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FAV
1 - 0
LAN
63%
19%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 0
EAS
23%
21%
57%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
LAN
70%
17%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
FAV
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
WHI
55%
21%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VCD
0 - 0
HER
44%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
HAY
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |