Lancaster City vs Whitby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
HYD
1 - 1
LAN
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 1
LAN
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 1
WAR
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
LAN
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 4
LAN
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Whitby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
HEB
1 - 3
WHI
17%
18%
65%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
WHI
2 - 0
ASH
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 1
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
RAD
3 - 3
WHI
34%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
2 - 1
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |