Lagoa vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
LAG
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAG
6 - 1
DES
81%
14%
6%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 2
LAG
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 0
QUA
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PES
0 - 0
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TON
2 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
TON
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TON
1 - 2
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 1
TON
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TON
2 - 2
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |