Lagarto vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 2
CDC
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
LAG
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
LAG
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LAG
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 1
COR
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
AMA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
AMA
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
AMA
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |