Lagarto vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LAG
3 - 0
AMP
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 1
LAG
87%
11%
3%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFP
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
AFP
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 1
POT
28%
22%
51%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
AFP
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
2 - 5
AFP
34%
22%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |