NCAA Division I Patriot League Round 9

Lafayette vs Army West Point analysis

 Lafayette Army West Point
31 ELO 24
-6.4% Tilt -0.5%
46863º General ELO ranking 46859º
811º Country ELO ranking 807º
ELO win probability
67.7%
Lafayette
17.7%
Draw
14.6%
Army West Point

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
 Lafayette
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.6%
Win probability
Army West Point
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
 Lafayette
-13%
-2%
Army West Point

ELO progression

 Lafayette
Army West Point
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lafayette
 Lafayette
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2021
HLC
Holy Cross
2 - 2
 Lafayette
LFL
36%
22%
41%
31 27 4 0
23 Oct. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
1 - 2
American Eagles
AUE
52%
21%
27%
32 29 3 -1
16 Oct. 2021
LMH
Lehigh
2 - 0
 Lafayette
LFL
10%
16%
74%
35 17 18 -3
09 Oct. 2021
LYM
Loyola Maryland
1 - 2
 Lafayette
LFL
37%
22%
41%
34 29 5 +1
02 Oct. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
1 - 0
Colgate Raiders
CRS
85%
10%
5%
34 16 18 0

Matches

Army West Point
Army West Point
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2021
LYM
Loyola Maryland
1 - 0
Army West Point
AWP
70%
17%
13%
24 33 9 0
23 Oct. 2021
AWP
Army West Point
2 - 0
Holy Cross
HLC
28%
22%
50%
22 28 6 +2
16 Oct. 2021
AUE
American Eagles
2 - 1
Army West Point
AWP
68%
17%
15%
22 29 7 0
09 Oct. 2021
NMP
Navy Midshipmen
3 - 0
Army West Point
AWP
71%
16%
13%
23 31 8 -1
02 Oct. 2021
LMH
Lehigh
2 - 1
Army West Point
AWP
19%
20%
62%
24 16 8 -1