La Roche vs Champlon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LAR
7 - 0
AUB
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BOM
1 - 4
LAR
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 3
LAR
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 1
WEL
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
LAR
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Champlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
VAU
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 4
MOR
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MEI
4 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
MEI
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |