La Luz FC vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
16º
16º
15
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
LUZ
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
JUN
2 - 2
LUZ
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
LUZ
42%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
LFC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 0
CER
4%
11%
86%
|
73 | 9 | 64 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
MWA
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 1
CER
38%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
DAN
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CER
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |