La Fresneda vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
ESM
17%
23%
60%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FRE
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
BER
51%
23%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 2
FRE
58%
22%
20%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 0
AST
53%
25%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AST
5 - 1
SIE
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
AST
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |