Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 3-2
L´Entregu CF vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L´Entregu CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 3
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
SPB
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
URR
1 - 1
LEN
20%
24%
55%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 2
TUI
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEA
3 - 1
CEA
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
LEA
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEA
4 - 0
LUA
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 1
LEA
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LEA
0 - 1
UDL
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |