L'Aquila vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
LAQ
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LAQ
2 - 0
REC
80%
15%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAQ
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
LAQ
21%
26%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
REC
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAM
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |