L'Aquila vs Roma City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
LAQ
1 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TER
0 - 0
LAQ
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LAQ
2 - 1
RIC
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 1
LAQ
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LAQ
1 - 0
SSS
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Roma City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
RCF
4 - 2
VAS
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SSS
1 - 1
RCF
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RCF
0 - 1
BFM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FAN
1 - 0
RCF
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RCF
3 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |