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J2 League. Matchday 24

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia analysis

Kyoto Sanga Machida Zelvia
48 ELO 41
8% Tilt 24%
1719º General ELO ranking 3035º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Kyoto Sanga
24.5%
Draw
25%
Machida Zelvia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
Kyoto Sanga
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25%
Win probability
Machida Zelvia
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kyoto Sanga
+12%
+23%
Machida Zelvia

Basic stats

57
43
POS
13
10
SOT
2
5
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
10
12
FRK
48
41
ELO
1.7
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Kyoto Sanga
Their league position
Machida Zelvia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
55
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kyoto Sanga
67
87
49%
Júbilo Iwata
66
84
28%
Albirex Niigata
57
78
25%
Machida Zelvia
55
73
15%
V-Varen Nagasaki
55
71
13%
Ventforet Kofu
54
73
11%
Montedio Yamagata
52
70
14%
Ryūkyū
51
69
14%
Mito Hollyhock
44
61
14%
JEF United
10º
43
58
11º
16%
Tokyo Verdy
11º
40
59
10º
14%
Blaublitz Akita
12º
39
51
12º
13%
Fagiano Okayama
13º
37
49
13º
12%
Tochigi
14º
33
46
14º
10%
Renofa Yamaguchi
15º
32
42
17º
10%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
16º
32
44
15º
9%
Omiya Ardija
17º
30
43
16º
9%
Matsumoto Yamaga
18º
30
41
19º
10%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
19º
29
41
20º
10%
Sagamihara
20º
28
37
22º
11%
Zweigen Kanazawa
21º
28
42
18º
12%
Ehime
22º
26
38
21º
13%
Expected probabilities
Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia
Champion
49% 5%
Promotion
28% 9%
Mid-table
23% 86%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kyoto Sanga
KYO
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
Urawa Reds
URA
Renofa Yamaguchi
REN
Sagan Tosu
SAG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO KYO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2021
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
1 - 1
Albirex Niigata
ALB
55%
25%
20%
897 580 317 -1
11 Jul. 2021
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
42%
27%
31%
893 705 -188 +4
07 Jul. 2021
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
44%
27%
29%
887 735 -152 +6
03 Jul. 2021
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
0 - 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
51%
25%
24%
892 659 233 -6
26 Jun. 2021
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
2 - 0
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
47%
27%
26%
888 778 110 +4

Matches

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2021
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Sagamihara
SAG
55%
24%
21%
629 259 370 +2
11 Jul. 2021
MAC
Machida Zelvia
2 - 1
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
41%
28%
31%
625 734 -109 +3
03 Jul. 2021
TOC
Tochigi
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
47%
27%
26%
625 647 22 0
27 Jun. 2021
MAC
Machida Zelvia
5 - 0
Ehime
EHI
47%
27%
26%
619 575 44 +6
20 Jun. 2021
THE
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
46%
27%
27%
616 538 -78 +3