Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
KYO
2 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 1
KYO
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
KYO
2 - 0
ROA
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
KYO
2 - 0
JEF
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SHO
2 - 1
KYO
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
4 - 0
GAI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 0
JEF
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SHO
3 - 1
AVI
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
AVI
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 1
ROA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |